Edge Football Quant

probabilistic football and basketball analysis

community
3 addedskillsworks in chat

a look at what’s possible

model match outcomes

model match outcomes

poisson and xg models estimate scoreline probabilities for football fixtures across recognised leagues.

illustrative preview
simulate every game

simulate every game

monte carlo runs of 10,000 or more trials show the spread of likely results for both football and basketball.

illustrative preview

Probabilistic quant analyst for football and basketball. Football: any FIFA-recognised league, Poisson and xG model. Basketball: NBA and major leagues, possession-based points model. Runs fetch, validate, prior, Bayesian update, Monte Carlo simulation (10,000+ runs), de-vig and structured output. Fixture and odds sources include SportyBet, Football.com, Bet9ja, 1xBet and bet365 alongside the existing livescore and data sources. Non-prescriptive: value gaps and confidence flags only, never bet or stake advice.

what it'll do

weekly calibration review
on its own schedule

before it starts, it'll ask: Team the user follows for default fixture picks (football or basketball)

open in Folk

already have an account? log in

free to add. it works free for 7 days, then needs pro.

built by a folk user. eligible creators earn when people use their skills. how creators earn